The only football analytics tool built by a Kaggle Grand Master (world rank #11). Calibrated probabilities, plain-English explanations, live public ROI — and cryptographic SHA-256 hashes published before kickoff so nothing can ever be edited retroactively.
⚡ 1 value pick per week — free forever. No credit card required.
The market problem
Out of 18 bettors we interviewed, 10 cited the same pain: "influencers delete losing picks, they show wins and hide losses."
We publish EVERYTHING. Wins. Losses. Math. Code.
The method
45,000+ international matches since 1872 (Kaggle Jürisoo), every World Cup since 1930 (Fjelstul dataset), 5 seasons of top-5 leagues (Football-Data + FBref). We don't guess — we learn.
Dixon-Coles (classical statistical baseline) + XGBoost + LightGBM + CatBoost + TabPFN (great for small samples like the WC) + AutoGluon auto-ensemble. Isotonic calibration. Walk-forward validation. Zero leakage.
Non-sports dimensions: club prestige, media coverage, diaspora, team cohesion — extracted by LLM with strict temporal snapshots (we only use info available before the match). Numbers aren't everything.
Example of pre-kickoff cryptographic hash:
2026-06-12T18:00:00Z · France-Germany · sha256: a7f3e1b9d4c8506e2a91c7b3f8d0e4a5c6b2f1d9e3a8c5b4f0d7e9c2a1b6f3e8
Published 2h before kickoff. Impossible to edit after. See verification page →
Pricing
World Cup 2026 special: -30% for life for the first 100 subscribers.
Taste the transparency before paying.
For the recreational bettor tired of flying blind.
For sharps and home-built modelers.
Secure Stripe payment · Cancel in 1 click · Automatic invoicing
No. If someone promises that, they're a scammer. What we do promise: probabilities better calibrated than the vig-free market on some matches (~5-8% of volume), and total transparency on actual model performance — wins and losses. What you do with that, with healthy bankroll management, is on you.
Every prediction is published with a pre-kickoff SHA-256 hash (2h before the match). That hash cannot be modified after. The full historical backtest is downloadable as CSV for anyone to re-run. Source datasets are republishable.
Kaggle is the world's largest data-science competition platform (~15M members). "Grand Master" is the highest status — ~300 people worldwide. Mathurin Aché ranks #11 globally, and applies those same models daily to bank fraud detection for major European groups. Public Kaggle profile →
A value bet is one where our model probability is strictly higher than the bookmaker's implied probability (odds × (1 − margin)). Example: if our model says "win at 55%" and the 2.00 odds imply 47% after de-vig, there's a +8% theoretical edge. We always show that edge explicitly. No positive edge, no alert.
Anytime, one click, from your account page. No commitment, no gotchas. Current month is due, that's it.
Soft launch before the World Cup
Pro/Premium opens in the coming weeks. First 100 on the waitlist keep -30% for life, starting day one.
No spam. Unsubscribe anytime. Max 1 email per week.